Will OpenAI's market share be above 20%?

33%
-10% last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on any calendar date from October 1, 2026 through October 31, 2026 inclusive, Lenovo's official U.S. product page, Lenovo's official U.S. online store (lenovo.com/us), or an official Lenovo U.S. press release lists an AMD-based IdeaPad Vibe configuration as purchasable for buyers in the United States. Purchasable means the page shows a working "Buy" or "Add to cart" button, or an explicit "Pre-order" option that includes a stated ship or availability date in October 2026 or text such as "Available: October 2026". Pre-order pages that do not state an explicit October 2026 ship or availability date, listings orderable only for non-U.S. customers, or an official Lenovo U.S. delay or cancellation announced before any such U.S. listing appears do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Lenovo's current trajectory and the rising demand for AMD models, expect to see AMD-based IdeaPad Vibe models listed for purchase in October. Makes too much business sense not to happen.

33%
-10% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

53%
Stable · last 24h

49%
+10% last 24h

66%
-1% last 24h
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