👤Raphaël Glucksmann

Open questions5

📊Politics·PollsCloses Nov 5

Poll: will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the next French presidential poll published by Nov 6?

25%

-1% last 24h

Yes 25%No 75%

1525 bets · 58.9K credits20

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📊Politics·PollsCloses Oct 30

Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll ahead of Édouard Philippe in the most recent national poll?

28%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 28%No 72%

1340 bets · 50.2K credits24

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📊Politics·PollsCloses Nov 8

Poll: Will Raphaël Glucksmann poll higher than Bruno Retailleau?

86%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 86%No 14%

292 bets · 10.9K credits5

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📍Politics·NationalResults Nov 7

Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the Socialist Party primary for the 2027 presidential election?

35%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 35%No 65%

175 bets · 5.8K credits4

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📍Politics·NationalResults Nov 16

Will Sandrine Rousseau publicly endorse Raphaël Glucksmann as the left's candidate for president?

18%

Stable · last 24h

Yes 18%No 82%

78 bets · 3.3K credits3

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How it turned out13

• Will at least one of Raphaël Glucksmann, Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Ségolène Royal, Olivier Faure, Fabien Verdier or Emmanuel Maurel not be listed as a validated candidate in the PS/Place publique social‑democratic primary?

  The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.

  Sep 16
  Yes
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann lead Jean‑Luc Mélenchon in the next first‑round poll for the 2027 French presidency?

  The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.

  Jun 25
  No
• Will Raphaël Glucksmann hold his presidential campaign rally as scheduled on June 13, 2026?

  The crowd was 74% sure, and they nailed it.

  Jun 14
  Yes

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