🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Nov 7 · Results Nov 8
Will terrorism charges be filed in connection with the Paris‑suburb shootings?
74%
Stable · last 24h
1614 bets · 57.3K credits15
Details →Paris
Live prediction markets about Paris. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
69%
crowd accuracy
87/127
right calls
8
open questions
Biggest miss
Will Paris's daily high reach at least 23 °C on August 31?
NoThe crowd was 84% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will terrorism charges be filed in connection with the Paris‑suburb shootings?
The crowd's YES odds since Oct 24
74%
Yes
Open questions8
🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a public protest or march take place in Paris on October 31?
95%
Stable · last 24h
822 bets · 32.3K credits16
Details →📍Politics·NationalCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 16
Will Emmanuel Grégoire formally resign as Mayor of Paris?
8%
Stable · last 24h
370 bets · 13.2K credits5
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🌡️Other·TemperatureCloses Oct 28 · Results Nov 1
Will Paris reach at least 13 °C on October 31?
94%
Stable · last 24h
337 bets · 14K credits4
Details →🌡️Other·TemperatureResults Oct 31
Will the maximum temperature in Paris reach at least 15 °C on October 30?
72%
+9% last 24h
765 bets · 29.5K credits8
Details →- Will Paris reach at least 14 °C on 28 October?Results Oct 29619 predictions90%Yes
- Will Paris reach at least 15 °C on October 29?Results Oct 30423 predictions78%Yes
- Will France proceed with merging Paris and its Petite Couronne into a single Greater Paris metropolis by end of 2026?Results Dec 31326 predictions27%Yes
How it turned out127
- Will Paris reach 40°C (104°F) on June 23, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 23 - Will the Fête de la Musique be held in Paris on June 21, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 22 - Will Paris experience temperatures exceeding 40°C on June 20, 2026?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 21 - Will France’s government publish the formal conclusions of the G7 Digital Ministerial by June 15, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 17 - Will Massive Attack perform at the Grand Palais d’été as part of Les Nuits de Fourvière from June 5–7, 2026?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Jun 8 - Will daytime temperatures at Roland Garros exceed 33 °C on any day between May 25 and May 31, 2026?Yes
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Jun 1 - Paris on Bastille Day (July 14): Over or under 30°C?No
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
May 14