🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
+42% last 24h
2002 bets · 60K credits6
Details →64%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results May 14Will the official high temperature in Paris on July 14, 2025 (Bastille Day) reach or exceed 30°C?
How markets are built and settled64%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 64% sure, and they got it wrong.
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77%
+42% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

56%
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22%
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69%
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