Will Emmanuel Grégoire formally resign as Mayor of Paris?

🤖 Context

YES if Emmanuel Grégoire publicly and formally resigns from the office of Mayor of Paris between October 3, 2026 and no later than November 15, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The resignation must be published or recorded by an official source (for example a Mairie de Paris press release or the Paris municipal register) or be clearly reported as a formal resignation by major independent national news outlets. • An announcement of intent without a filed or accepted resignation by the municipal authority counts as NO. Leaving office for death, court-ordered removal, or incapacity counts as NO. • Source: Mairie de Paris (Paris.fr), an official mayor’s office statement, or major independent national news outlets such as AFP, Franceinfo, Le Monde.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 9%, based on 362 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

9%

Predictions made

362

Credits staked

13,020

Comments

4

Opened

Oct 3, 2026

Closes

Nov 15, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 16, 2026

Resolution source

franceinfo.fr

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 15, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 16, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 9% and NO 91%, based on 362 predictions and 13K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against franceinfo.fr once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Emmanuel Grégoire formally resign as Mayor of Paris?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Emmanuel Grégoire formally resign as Mayor of Paris?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.