Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
62%
crowd accuracy
246/397
right calls
69
open questions
Biggest miss
The crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions69
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate at least 1,548,000,000,000 MXN to 'participaciones para estados y municipios' (shared revenues for states and municipalities)?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 16404 predictions82%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget allocate less than 173,000,000 MXN to the Fiscalía Especializada en Combate a la Corrupción?Closes Nov 18 · Results Dec 1404 predictions68%Yes
- Will Anatalia Jocelyn Gutiérrez Gutiérrez's recurso de revisión be rejected and her amparo denial upheld?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3404 predictions81%Yes
- Will Miriam Martínez be formally nominated as PAN's official candidate for governor of Tlaxcala?Closes Jan 1404 predictions56%Yes
- Will Lydia Antonio de la Garza be ratified as Mexico's ambassador to Peru?Closes Nov 18 · Results Nov 21403 predictions60%Yes
- Will Mexico's federal environmental law (LGEPA) be amended or replaced?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1403 predictions61%Yes
- Will an official Mexico City list show at least 32 'Utopías' as completed or under construction?Closes Jan 1403 predictions27%Yes
- Will the 2027 federal budget set total net expenditure at least 10,515,000,000,000 MXN?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 2402 predictions79%Yes
- Will the PVEM say it won't join Morena in any Mexico City race in 2027?Closes Dec 16402 predictions45%Yes
- Will Morena CDMX announce it will use internal opinion surveys to pick at least one 2027 Mexico City candidate?Closes Dec 16402 predictions42%Yes
- Will the 'Ley General para el Fortalecimiento y Armonización Catastral y Registral' be enacted into law?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 3402 predictions27%Yes
- Will the youth rental housing program in Mexico City be publicly launched?Closes Jan 1402 predictions26%Yes
How it turned out397
- La Granja VIP: Will Natalia Alcocer still be competing after the elimination episode on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 65% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - La Granja VIP: Will Azalia Ojeda be eliminated in the gala on 27 September?No
The crowd was 58% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 28 - La Granja VIP: Will Daniela Alexis 'La Bebeshita' still be competing on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will Claudia Sheinbaum give a public in-person speech at Mexico City's Zócalo on September 27?Yes
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 28 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 27 °C on September 26?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will the cyclone Fox Weather calls Invest 99E make landfall as a Category 1-or-stronger hurricane on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula?No
The crowd was 71% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will Mexico beat Colombia on September 26?No
The crowd was 57% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 27 - Will Hurricane Polo make landfall on Mexican territory (mainland or Mexican islands)?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sep 26 - Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 26 °C on September 25?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 26 - Will Stray Kids perform at Estadio GNP Seguros in Mexico City on September 25 as part of STRAYCITY?Yes
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Sep 26