Will the cyclone Fox Weather calls Invest 99E make landfall as a Category 1-or-stronger hurricane on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula?

🤖 Context

YES if no later than September 26, 2026 the National Hurricane Center or other mainstream reporting issues an operational advisory or report stating that the tropical cyclone traced by official advisories to the disturbance Fox Weather identified as Invest 99E made landfall on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula while classified as a hurricane (Saffir–Simpson Category 1 or higher). If the system makes multiple landfalls any single landfall meeting this criterion counts as YES. Otherwise NO. Preferred evidence includes NHC operational advisories, official Mexican meteorological statements, or multiple major news outlets quoting those agencies.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026. The outcome will be settled against foxweather.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 71%, based on 117 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

71%

Predictions made

117

Credits staked

3,290

Comments

3

Opened

Sep 19, 2026

Closes

Sep 20, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 27, 2026

Resolution source

foxweather.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 20, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 27, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 71% and NO 29%, based on 117 predictions and 3.3K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against foxweather.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the cyclone Fox Weather calls Invest 99E make landfall as a Category 1-or-stronger hurricane on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the cyclone Fox Weather calls Invest 99E make landfall as a Category 1-or-stronger hurricane on the Mexican mainland or the Baja California Peninsula?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.