Mexico
Live prediction markets about Mexico. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
61%
crowd accuracy
229/377
right calls
76
open questions
Biggest miss
Will 'Spider-Man: Un Nuevo Día' be Mexico's weekend box-office #1?
NoThe crowd was 93% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will permits be issued allowing cannabis in prepared or semi-prepared foods?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 15
61%
Yes
Open questions76
- Will Nintendo cut the price of any Nintendo Switch Online tier in Mexico?Closes Dec 1408 predictions46%Yes
- Will a construction schedule with a specific day‑month‑year start or end date be published for the Line 12 Metro expansion?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3408 predictions12%Yes
- Will any defendant in the Segalmex investigations be finally convicted in Mexican courts?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 3407 predictions37%Yes
- Will at least one sitting member of the INE Consejo General receive a one-time cash payment equal to their 2027 salary reduction?Closes Jan 1 · Results Feb 16407 predictions38%Yes
- Will Mexico's enacted 2027 budget give SEDENA more total funding than SEMAR?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 1406 predictions39%Yes
- Will the INE's 2027 Manual of Remunerations or its tabulator be annulled, suspended, or ordered changed?Closes Nov 16406 predictions17%Yes
- Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales be publicly removed as Morena coordinator in Nuevo León?Closes Jan 1406 predictions27%Yes
- Will Mexico's 2027 federal budget be approved?Closes Nov 9 · Results Dec 16405 predictions39%Yes
- Will Morena and the Partido Verde (PVEM) publicly say they'll run together as a coalition in Mexico City for the 2027 elections?Closes Jan 1405 predictions84%Yes
- Will Mexico ban people with dual nationality from running for President or any state Governor?Closes Jan 1405 predictions38%Yes
- Will the INE's 2027 pay changes take effect?Closes Jan 1405 predictions67%Yes
- Will Manuel Roberto Farías Laguna or Fernando Farías Laguna be taken into custody or have an official Mexican arrest warrant issued?Closes Oct 31 · Results Dec 1404 predictions31%Yes
How it turned out377
- Will MC have a higher vote percentage than PRI in the top national poll?No
The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 25 - Will Depresión Tropical Veintidós-E become a hurricane?Yes
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 25 - Will Mexico City reach at least 22 °C on October 23?Yes
The crowd was 72% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 24 - Will Mexico record an earthquake of magnitude 4.9 or greater?No
The crowd was 56% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 24 - Will Mexico City reach at least 22 °C on 22 October?No
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 23 - Will IMSS workers hold a national march in Mexico City on October 21 that includes a march from Centro Médico Nacional Siglo XXI to the IMSS offices on Paseo de la Reforma?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 23 - La Granja VIP: Will Kevyn Contreras 'Bicolor' still be competing in the second season on Oct 21?Yes
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22 - Liga MX: will América be 1st on October 22?Yes
The crowd was 77% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22 - Will Mexico City reach at least 21 °C on 21 October?Yes
The crowd was 68% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22 - Liga MX: will Miguel Borja be in Club América's matchday squad on Oct 21?Yes
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 22