Live prediction markets about Google. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
68%
crowd accuracy
79/116
right calls
27
open questions
Biggest miss
Will the U.S. open a trade investigation into EU fines on Google or Apple by August 7, 2026?
YesThe crowd was 78% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Android 18 be announced?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 28
77%
Yes
Open questions27
- Will Google have the best Math AI model?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 2177 predictions75%Yes
- Will any Googlebook be listed with 'Snapdragon X Elite' as its chipset?Closes Nov 1169 predictions84%Yes
- Will Google start selling any Googlebook that lists an October 2026 ship date?Closes Nov 1157 predictions88%Yes
- Will Google Vercel's share of AI Gateway requests among the top labs on Oct 28 be above 11.9%?Closes Oct 29139 predictions48%Yes
- Will any GPT-6.1 model (Astra, Sol, or Luna) be listed as available on Google Cloud?Closes Nov 7 · Results Nov 8133 predictions54%Yes
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 3132 predictions20%Yes
- Will Google have the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31?Closes Oct 3196 predictions76%Yes
- Will Google Health's 'Improved Automatic Activity Tracking' be available for the Fitbit Edge at launch on October 27?Closes Oct 276 predictions75%Yes
- Will Google make Gemini 4 "Argon" available to Gemini app users with free (no-subscription) accounts?Results Dec 1400 predictions9%Yes
- Will Google sell Googlebook laptops to consumers?Results Nov 2283 predictions90%Yes
- Will the Gemini/AI Mode 'Buy' button roll out more widely in India to let people buy Flipkart smartphones?Results Oct 31219 predictions37%Yes
- Will an official Google technical post‑mortem explain the May 2026 Gemini models' unauthorized Internet access?Results Nov 180 predictions70%Yes
How it turned out116
- Will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?No
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 10 - Will Alphabet's company market cap be bigger than NVIDIA's?No
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10 - Will any entertainment, celebrity, or gaming topic get more Google searches than Paloma Cuevas in Mexico on August 9?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 10 - Will France Google the weather more than video games on August 9?Yes
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 10 - Will Spain Google the weather more than politics on August 8?Yes
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 9 - Will France Google-search more video games than the weather on August 8?No
The crowd was 82% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 9 - Will any Entertainment, Celebrity and Gaming topic be googled more than Angélica Rivera in Mexico on August 7?No
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8 - Will the U.S. Google more video games than health on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 8 - Will France make more Google searches for politics than for the weather on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 76% sure, and they got it wrong.
Aug 8 - Will any entertainment, celebrity or gaming topic be more googled than Scott Eastwood in the United States on August 7?Yes
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Aug 8