Will Google have the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31?

🤖 Context

YES if Kalshi finalizes the market ticker KXLLM1-26OCT31-GOOG as YES for Oct 31, 2026, otherwise NO. • The underlying ranking is the LM Arena Leaderboard snapshot for Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. • Tie-breaks: if models tie on Rank (UB) the higher Arena Score wins. If still tied the model with more votes wins. If still tied the model released earlier wins. • Source: Kalshi.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 31, 2026. The outcome will be settled against kalshi.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 84 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

84

Credits staked

3,508

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 22, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 31, 2026

Resolution source

kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 31, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 84 predictions and 3.5K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against kalshi.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Google have the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Google have the top-ranked LLM on Oct 31?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.