🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 29
Will Pokémon TCG Pocket add the basic gameplay mechanic on October 29?
85%
+3% last 24h
433 bets · 15.5K credits5
Details →
CultureOpened Aug 8 · Results Aug 10
Will France Google the weather more than video games on August 9?
90%
Stable · last 24h
📊 259 bettors💎 8.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 10🤖 Context
YES if, according to Google Trends (the France trending-searches archive), the number of topics whose primary category is weather and that started trending during the UTC day August 9, 2026 is strictly greater than the number of topics whose primary category is video games and that started trending the same UTC day. Count each topic on the UTC day it started trending, and if a topic shows multiple categories count it under the first/primary category shown. Ties or equal counts resolve NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes90%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 90% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: number of France Google Trends topics whose primary category is 'the weather' and that STARTED trending during UTC day 2026-08-09 is strictly greater than number whose primary category is 'video games' and that STARTED trending the same UTC day. Target window: UTC day 2026-08-09 (2026-08-09T00:00:00+00:00 → 2026-08-10T00:00:00+00:00). Observed values from the supplied Google Trends archive (observed as of 2026-08-10 01:00 UTC): 'the weather' = 28 topics; 'video games' = 3 topics. Comparison: 28 > 3, so the condition is satisfied → YES.
Source: trends.google.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 90%
- Predictions made
- 259
- Credits staked
- 8,065
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 8, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 10, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- trends.google.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the recent trends, it's likely that people will be more curious about the weather than video games on the 9th. With events like the 'Euromillion' drawing attention, weather searches should dominate.
Related predictions
See all →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 19
Will GTA 6 have purchasable in-game microtransactions at launch on November 19?
40%
Stable · last 24h
5520 bets · 192.6K credits83
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 17
Will Nvidia change the Nvidia App so the "Allow Agents to control Nvidia App" setting is disabled by default?
65%
Stable · last 24h
1710 bets · 66.5K credits24
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a specific existing The Legend of Zelda game be named for a 40th‑anniversary remake?
95%
Stable · last 24h
1669 bets · 43.1K credits31
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Nov 18 · Results Nov 20
Will Grand Theft Auto 6 be released and playable on both PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S on November 19?
95%
Stable · last 24h
1571 bets · 46.7K credits23
Details →🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 31 · Results Dec 1
Will Microsoft announce a per-account monthly hours limit for Game Pass cloud streaming?
58%
Stable · last 24h
1022 bets · 25.1K credits14
Details →