Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the top model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on September 21?

🤖 Context

YES if, when the arena.ai "Text Arena | Overall" leaderboard is checked at 12:00 PM ET on September 21, 2026, the model "claude-fable-5.1-max" holds the highest position in the leaderboard's "Rank" column. Models marked "AutoEval" at that check time are excluded. If multiple models share the top Rank, the market resolves YES if "claude-fable-5.1-max" is among those tied for first. If arena.ai is temporarily inaccessible, contemporaneous reputable coverage or archived snapshots that reproduce the leaderboard at that check time may be used.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 23, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 43 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

72%

Predictions made

43

Credits staked

1,158

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 5, 2026

Closes

Sep 21, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 23, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 21, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 23, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 72% and NO 28%, based on 43 predictions and 1.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the top model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on September 21?” real-money betting?

No. “Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the top model on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard on September 21?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.