Canada
Live prediction markets about Canada. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
44/59
right calls
66
open questions
Biggest miss
Davis Cup: Will France beat Canada in the Quebec tie?
NoThe crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Canada add new categories of single-use plastic items to the federal ban?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 28
44%
Yes
Open questions66
- Will the US ease import tariffs on machinery from Canada on October 30?Closes Oct 30 · Results Oct 31238 predictions82%Yes
- Will California be blocked from counting mail‑in ballots from more than 20,000 DOJ‑listed voters?Closes Nov 3 · Results Nov 42 predictions39%Yes
- Will Canada agree to buy at least one Saab GlobalEye aircraft?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 22 predictions38%Yes
- Will the Nova Scotia House of Assembly hold an emergency sitting to debate EverWind Fuels' proposed Port Hawkesbury AI data centre?Closes Nov 11 prediction41%Yes
- Will the federal budget tabled on Nov 5 include explicit dollar amounts for Canada’s international assistance for at least two fiscal years after 2026–27?Closes Nov 5 · Results Nov 61 prediction67%Yes
- Will a Canadian province other than Alberta or Saskatchewan announce it will bring back or restock U.S. beer, wine or spirits in its government liquor stores?Closes Nov 15 · Results Nov 161 prediction31%Yes
- Will any Indigenous nation, band, or Indigenous organization in Canada file a legal challenge against the Pacific Link pipeline?Closes Apr 11 prediction71%Yes
- Will an Indigenous nation, band council, or Indigenous-owned company sign a legally binding equity agreement to take an ownership stake in the Pacific Link pipeline?Closes Apr 11 prediction42%Yes
- Will Stelco or Cleveland‑Cliffs be sued by the Government of Canada over the planned Hamilton plant layoffs?Closes Nov 10 predictions57%Yes
- Will the federal budget tabled in the House of Commons on November 5 show Canada’s international assistance (ODA) total net of in‑Canada refugee‑support spending?Closes Nov 5 · Results Nov 60 predictions33%Yes
- Will Canada's 2026 federal budget include an annual CAD 5.5B target for core development assistance?Closes Nov 5 · Results Nov 60 predictions61%Yes
- Will Canada publish a document officials call the country's 'national security strategy'?Closes Nov 70 predictions67%Yes
How it turned out59
- Will a motion calling on the government to extend the federal fuel excise tax exemption until at least July 1, 2027 be adopted by the House of Commons on October 19?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 20 - Will Macklemore announce at least one confirmed Canadian concert date for his 'Free Palestine' tour?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 17 - Will a 'Charter statement' for Bill C-39 be published?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 17 - Will Canada publish a final national AI strategy called or described as 'AI for All'?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Canada keep the federal excise tax on both gasoline and diesel suspended through at least January 1?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 16 - Will the Northern Lights be observed anywhere in Canada?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 14 - Will Canada's starting XI vs Denmark on Oct 9 in Montreal be different from the XI on Oct 12 in Toronto?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Stelco's U.S. owner submit a written plan to the Government of Canada to preserve Canadian Stelco jobs?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 13 - Will the G7 announce a coordinated release of oil or diesel from member strategic reserves?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Tropical Storm Rachel's center make landfall on California's mainland coast?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 12