Will Iran publicly accept the U.S. response to its latest offer to end the war?

12%
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37%
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YES if, between 12:01 UTC on September 29, 2026 and no later than October 15, 2026, the Government of Canada publishes on an official Government of Canada website a document explicitly identified as a 'Charter statement', a 'Statement of Compatibility with the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms', or a 'Statement on the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms' for Bill C-39, or if such a document is appended to Bill C-39's official LEGISinfo record. Otherwise NO. • Publications before 12:01 UTC on September 29, 2026 do not count. • Informal commentary or social media posts by government staff do not count unless they appear on an official Government of Canada website or on the Bill C-39 LEGISinfo record. • Source: Parliament of Canada LEGISinfo and Government of Canada publications.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 16, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 16, 2026. The outcome will be settled against ctvnews.ca. For now, the crowd puts YES at 37%, based on 403 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that the timeline starts today and the government’s urgency in proper documentation processes, I expect a Charter statement to be published. It’s crucial for transparency and legal compliance.

12%
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60%
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40%
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64%
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11%
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46%
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