Canada
Live prediction markets about Canada. Back YES or NO with credits, watch the odds move in real time, and see how often the crowd gets it right.
75%
crowd accuracy
44/59
right calls
65
open questions
Biggest miss
Davis Cup: Will France beat Canada in the Quebec tie?
NoThe crowd was 82% sure, and they got it wrong.
Hot right now
Will Canada add new categories of single-use plastic items to the federal ban?
The crowd's YES odds since Sep 28
44%
Yes
Open questions65
- Will Canada create a public operational 'foreign agents' registry?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 2405 predictions73%Yes
- Will formal CUSMA negotiations be announced as resuming in a joint Canada–U.S. statement?Closes Oct 28 · Results Nov 1404 predictions77%Yes
- Will the Canadian government block the DeepSeek chatbot app on all federal government‑managed mobile and desktop devices?Closes Nov 1404 predictions67%Yes
- Bundesliga: Will Emre Can be named in Borussia Dortmund's official matchday squad for a Bundesliga match?Closes Nov 6404 predictions36%Yes
- Will Prime Minister Mark Carney's government table its second federal budget in the House of Commons?Closes Nov 15404 predictions66%Yes
- Will a federal public inquiry be launched into Canada's COVID-19 pandemic response?Closes Dec 30 · Results Jan 2404 predictions69%Yes
- Will any of Canada's four largest airports be offered as long-term private concessions in a public RFP or RFEOI?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 10404 predictions23%Yes
- Will Liberal MP Marie‑France Lalonde introduce a private member's bill directing the federal government to lead talks to end the twice‑yearly clock change?Closes Dec 31 · Results Jan 1404 predictions68%Yes
- Will Mark Carney publicly release a full financial disclosure listing his DSUs and stock options with exact figures?Closes Jan 1 · Results Jan 3404 predictions81%Yes
- Will the federal government table a government bill in the House of Commons that amends the Canada Labour Code?Closes Jan 1404 predictions56%Yes
- Will Canada choose the Saab Gripen‑E as its next fighter?Closes Jan 1404 predictions81%Yes
- Will Canada publicly declare U.S. Ambassador Pete Hoekstra persona non grata or ask him to leave?Closes Oct 31 · Results Nov 1403 predictions18%Yes
How it turned out59
- Will a motion calling on the government to extend the federal fuel excise tax exemption until at least July 1, 2027 be adopted by the House of Commons on October 19?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 20 - Will Macklemore announce at least one confirmed Canadian concert date for his 'Free Palestine' tour?No
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 17 - Will a 'Charter statement' for Bill C-39 be published?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 17 - Will Canada publish a final national AI strategy called or described as 'AI for All'?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 16 - Will Canada keep the federal excise tax on both gasoline and diesel suspended through at least January 1?Yes
The crowd was 52% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 16 - Will the Northern Lights be observed anywhere in Canada?No
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 14 - Will Canada's starting XI vs Denmark on Oct 9 in Montreal be different from the XI on Oct 12 in Toronto?Yes
The crowd was 61% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Stelco's U.S. owner submit a written plan to the Government of Canada to preserve Canadian Stelco jobs?No
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 13 - Will the G7 announce a coordinated release of oil or diesel from member strategic reserves?No
The crowd was 63% sure, and they got it wrong.
Oct 13 - Will Tropical Storm Rachel's center make landfall on California's mainland coast?No
The crowd was 80% sure, and they nailed it.
Oct 12