Follow the news · October 15, 2026
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
72
Crowd right
72%
Upsets
3
How we count
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report
All results72 results
- Will the voting-by-mail system described in the article face a formal federal investigation?Yes
crowd 69% yes · 20 players
- Will all eight episodes of The Diplomat Season 4 be available to stream in the United States on October 15?Yes
crowd 81% yes · 17 players
- Will IMSS staff hold a national march in Mexico City on October 14?Yes
crowd 76% yes · 12 players
- Will one or more suspects be arrested and held in custody for the attack in Paso Amapa, Omealca?No
crowd 56% yes · 9 players
- Will Steelers RB Jaylen Warren be the AFC Offensive Player of the Week?Yes
crowd 55% yes · 8 players
- Will Spain google Javier Calvo more than Francisco Rivera on Sep 27?No
crowd 60% yes · 7 players
- Will a majority of IMSS active workers voting on October 14 approve the 6.8% pay increase?No
crowd 58% yes · 7 players
- Will the Brewers beat the Dodgers in NLCS Game 3 on October 14?Yes
crowd 63% yes · 7 players
- Will Summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record?No
crowd 62% yes · 6 players
- Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 23 °C on October 14?Yes
crowd 75% yes · 6 players
- Premier League: will Manchester City be banned from registering new first-team players for at least one transfer window?No
crowd 63% yes · 5 players
- La promesa: Will Leocadia show María an anonymous letter threatening to take Janita unless she marries Carlo?Yes
crowd 79% yes · 5 players
- Will UK forces publicly say they carried out satellite jamming to defend against hostile threats?No
crowd 63% yes · 4 players
- Will tropical cyclone Trudy reach Category 1 (hurricane) strength?Yes
crowd 75% yes · 4 players
- Will a formal disciplinary proceeding be opened against Judge María Tardón?No
crowd 60% no · 1 player
- Will BSW and the AfD publish a joint cooperation/coalition agreement or will BSW publicly endorse a named AfD candidate for Minister‑President of Saxony‑Anhalt?No
crowd 52% yes · 1 player
- Will summer 2026 be the warmest summer on record in the UK?No
crowd 51% yes · 1 player
- Exatlón México: Will Pato Araujo still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 52% no · 1 player
- Exatlón México: Will Alexis Vargas still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 52% yes · 1 player
- Exatlón México: Will Karol still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 52% no · 1 player
- Will London's daily high reach at least 18 °C on October 14?Yes
crowd 67% yes · 1 player