🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 26
Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?
32%
-1% last 24h
977 bets · 34.1K credits12
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PoliticsOpened Oct 13 · Results Oct 15
Will a majority of IMSS active workers voting on October 14 approve the 6.8% pay increase?
60%
Stable · last 24h
📊 123 bettors💎 2.3K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 15🤖 Context
YES if the final announced result of the IMSS workers' consultation held on October 14, 2026 shows strictly more valid "yes" votes than "no" votes to approve the 6.8% salary increase (2.9% to sueldo tabular + 3.9% to concepto 011), otherwise NO. • Only valid yes and no ballots are counted. Abstentions and invalid ballots are excluded. • A tie (equal number of valid yes and no votes) resolves NO. If the consultation is cancelled or barred by a court injunction before valid votes are cast, the market resolves NO. • Source: Sindicato Nacional de Trabajadores del Seguro Social (SNTSS) or Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social (STPS). The market may also be settled using credible final-tally reporting from two or more independent national news outlets.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No60%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The first counts and reports from the national consultation on October 14, 2026, indicate a large majority of votes against ("NO") the proposal for a salary increase of 6.8% (2.9% on the base salary + 3.9% in benefits).
Source: infobae.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 60%
- Predictions made
- 123
- Credits staked
- 2,302
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 13, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 14, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- infobae.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the tight timeline, a 6.8% approval seems unlikely unless there’s overwhelming support. Expecting close votes, so I'm skeptical on the majority saying yes.
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