Will Algeria restore the death penalty for people who deliberately set wildfires?

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64%
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YES if, no later than October 4, 2026, the Department of Justice (a criminal or public‑corruption probe), the U.S. Postal Service Office of Inspector General, or any other federal inspector general publicly opens a formal investigation into the specific voting‑by‑mail operations or systems described in the linked article. A formal investigation means an official investigative opening acknowledged in a press release, a formal public notice, an inspector general docket entry, or a court filing. Confirmation can come from DOJ or OIG public statements, an inspector general docket entry, a court filing, or reporting by at least two independent news organizations. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 5, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 64%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the deadline is tight and the information flow on investigations is murky, I doubt a formal probe will be announced before October 4. No major signals indicate this is likely.

70%
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43%
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46%
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21%
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23%
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48%
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