Will a formal disciplinary proceeding be opened against Judge María Tardón?

🤖 Context

YES if the CGPJ publicly opens or registers a formal disciplinary proceeding ('expediente disciplinario' or equivalent) against Judge María Tardón no later than October 3, 2026, as reported by a CGPJ press release or by at least two independent Spanish mainstream news outlets (for example EFE, El País, RTVE, ABC). NO otherwise. Mere receipt of complaints, requests for information, calls for 'respect', internal information-gathering, or statements of concern that do not constitute the formal opening of an expediente disciplinario do not count.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against efe.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 49%, based on 1 prediction.

Key facts

Crowd probability

49%

Predictions made

1

Credits staked

50

Comments

0

Opened

Sep 3, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 4, 2026

Resolution source

efe.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 4, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 49% and NO 51%, based on 1 prediction and 50 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against efe.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will a formal disciplinary proceeding be opened against Judge María Tardón?” real-money betting?

No. “Will a formal disciplinary proceeding be opened against Judge María Tardón?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.