Follow the news · October 14, 2026
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
101
Crowd right
78%
Upsets
9
How we count
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report
All results101 results
- Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on October 14?Yes
crowd 89% yes · 114 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Vincent Blier still be competing on October 14?Yes
crowd 77% yes · 114 players
- Were fewer than 90% of French lycées open on the morning of October 13?No
crowd 77% no · 112 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Yassin still be competing on October 14?Yes
crowd 65% yes · 104 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Yassin still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 66% yes · 103 players
- Will Kaylee Hunter play for Canada in at least one of the two friendlies vs Denmark?Yes
crowd 99% yes · 102 players
- Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?No
crowd 71% no · 96 players
- Will Idir Boumertit file an appeal with the Conseil d'État?No
crowd 62% yes · 92 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on October 14?Yes
crowd 91% yes · 89 players
- Will all members of a single Bundestag parliamentary group be excluded from a Bundestag plenary session?No
crowd 97% no · 87 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Lola Labesse return to the main game?Yes
crowd 67% no · 83 players
- Champions League: will Villarreal vs Napoli kick off and be played to completion on October 13?Yes
crowd 98% yes · 75 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Yassin still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 56% yes · 67 players
- Champions League: will Atlético Madrid vs Manchester United kick off and be completed on October 13?Yes
crowd 97% yes · 64 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Yassin still be competing on October 14?Yes
crowd 71% yes · 60 players
- Will 'BbY WOW' credited to KAROL G, Judeline and rusowsky be #1 on Apple Music Spain's Most Played chart?Yes
crowd 94% yes · 59 players
- Will East of Eden: Limited Series be the top US Netflix show on Oct 12?No
crowd 93% no · 58 players
- Will Raúl Morón announce he will run for governor of Michoacán?No
crowd 92% no · 57 players
- Koh-Lanta: Will Maxime still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 78% yes · 57 players
- Will Collin Gosselin’s memoir In the Shadow of Eight be available to buy in the US on October 13?Yes
crowd 88% yes · 44 players
- Will Renfe have at least 775 delayed long- and medium-distance trains on October 13?Yes
crowd 59% no · 38 players
- Will PSPV‑PSOE's recurso de amparo be admitted for processing by the Constitutional Court?No
crowd 58% no · 26 players
- Will Toronto's daily high reach at least 20 °C on October 13?Yes
crowd 85% yes · 23 players
- Will the first official trailer for Narnia: The Magician's Nephew drop on October 13?Yes
crowd 85% yes · 22 players
- Will Apple announce a new Apple TV 4K on October 13?Yes
crowd 78% yes · 20 players
- Will Abdul El‑Sayed lead Mike Rogers in Michigan head‑to‑head polls?Yes
crowd 62% yes · 18 players
- Will Apple announce a new Apple-branded smart home hub at its 'Welcome home' event on October 13?Yes
crowd 89% yes · 18 players
- Will "OLIVIA LA FLAKA" by Natanael Cano, Tito Double P, Victor Mendivil & Ovi be the #1 song on Apple Music Mexico — Most Played?Yes
crowd 82% yes · 16 players
- Will Juan Reynoso be Club Necaxa's first-team head coach on October 13?Yes
crowd 82% yes · 15 players
- World Cup: Will Scotland win the two‑leg play‑off against the Czech Republic on aggregate?Yes
crowd 78% yes · 13 players
- Will all 32 NHL teams play an official regular-season game on October 13?Yes
crowd 55% yes · 12 players
- Will the Cleveland Guardians win ALCS Game 2 at Tropicana Field on October 13?No
crowd 64% no · 10 players
- Will a tornado warning be issued in Kansas on October 13?No
crowd 75% yes · 9 players
- Will Anthropic file a public Form S‑1 registration statement?No
crowd 58% no · 8 players
- Premier League: will Manchester City be hit with a formal disciplinary sanction the league publicly announces?No
crowd 53% no · 8 players
- Will Tyler Cameron and their partner be eliminated from Dancing with the Stars Season 35?No
crowd 57% no · 8 players
- Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 tweets?No
crowd 67% no · 7 players
- Will London's daily high reach at least 20 °C on October 13?Yes
crowd 71% no · 7 players
- Will Iván Cazarín Molina ('El Tanque') be 'vinculado a proceso' (formally charged)?Yes
crowd 64% yes · 6 players
- Will Apple announce a new Apple TV hardware model on October 13 at the 'Welcome home' event?Yes
crowd 79% yes · 5 players
- Will HomeView ship in November 2026?Yes
crowd 51% yes · 5 players
- Champions League: will Arsenal beat Lille?Yes
crowd 61% yes · 5 players
- Champions League: Will Marc Guiu be in RB Leipzig's matchday squad vs PSV on October 13?No
crowd 60% no · 4 players
- Will Doing Life be the #1 movie on Netflix US on Oct 12?No
crowd 52% no · 4 players
- Will East of Eden: Limited Series be the #1 show on US Netflix on Oct 12?No
crowd 70% no · 4 players
- Will Mexico City's daily high reach at least 21 °C on October 13?Yes
crowd 57% yes · 4 players
- Will the Northern Lights be observed anywhere in Canada?No
crowd 63% yes · 3 players
- Will Benjamin Satterley's cause of death be publicly disclosed?No
crowd 65% no · 2 players
- Exatlón México: Will Paulette still be competing on October 13?Yes
crowd 67% yes · 1 player
- Champions League: Will Jonas Urbig be in Bayern's starting XI at Viking on October 13?Yes
crowd 67% yes · 1 player