Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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71%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13YES if Arsenal are recorded as the match winners after the full-time conclusion of the Champions League match between Arsenal and Lille that kicks off at 20:00 local time on 13 October 2026, otherwise NO. • A win after extra time or a penalty shoot-out counts as a win. • If the match is abandoned or not completed on 13 October 2026, the market resolves NO. • Source: UEFA match report, BBC Sport, Reuters, AP, or the clubs' official match reports.
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Champions League match on October 13, 2026, ended with a victory for Arsenal 3-0 against Lille (goals from Jurriën Timber, Eberechi Eze, and Bukayo Saka). The market therefore resolves as YES.
Source: fr.uefa.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledArsenal should take this one against Lille; they have the home advantage and a stronger squad. They'll likely secure the win, barring any major surprises.

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