Will Minecraft for Nintendo Switch 2 be available to buy or download on October 27?

93%
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55%
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Resolved: No
Results Oct 13The market would resolve to yes only if Kalshi finalized the market and officially reported that Doing Life was the #1 movie on Netflix US for October 12, 2026. Kalshi did finalize the market and its official, finalized result was no. Because Kalshi's official result does not report Doing Life as the #1 movie for that date, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled55%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 55% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES only if Kalshi's KXNETFLIXRANKMOVIE-26OCT12-DOI is marked "finalized" with an official finalized result of YES. Target/subject: Whether Doing Life was #1 on Netflix US for Oct 12, 2026 (Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart for Oct 12, 2026). Observed values from the supplied Kalshi ticker: "Official status: finalized" and "Official finalized result: NO." Comparison: The Kalshi official finalized result is NO (not YES), so under the market rule the contract resolves to NO.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith only five days to go, it’s tough to see 'Doing Life' clinching the #1 spot on Netflix. Too many contenders can shake things up before then.

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