Lead story
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
5%
Final odds
24047 💎 staked718 bettors5 comments
See the marketResolved Jul 18
Follow the news · July 18, 2026
How the markets that settled that day resolved: the odds, the verdict, and what the crowd got right or wrong.
Settled
19
Crowd right
74%
Upsets
1
How we count
The crowd = real players' bets only (bots excluded); questions no player bet on aren't scored. Crowd right: the side above 50% won (50/50 calls excluded). Upset: the crowd was at least 75% sure and wrong. Full accuracy report
All results19 results
- Will The Rolling Stones' 'Foreign Tongues' album sell over 500,000 copies in its first week?No
crowd 89% yes · 89 players
- Will the average price of SP95-E10 in France exceed €2 per liter in the week ending July 17, 2026?No
crowd 76% no · 557 players
- Will Jonas Vingegaard win Stage 14 (Mulhouse>Le Markstein Fellering)?No
crowd 87% no · 493 players
- Will at least 5 mm of rain fall in Paris before 18 July 2026?Yes
crowd 54% yes · 394 players
- Will the U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil sales take effect on July 17, 2026?Yes
crowd 76% yes · 354 players
- Will Météo-France issue a vigilance orange or red alert for Paris on July 18, 2026?No
crowd 90% no · 329 players
- Will both Fontainebleau forest fires be declared fully extinguished before Friday, 17 July 2026?No
crowd 82% no · 295 players
- Will 'I Will Find You' remain at the top of Netflix France's Top 10 for the week ending July 17, 2026?Yes
crowd 74% yes · 243 players
- Will Bending Spoons S.p.A. (BSP) stock close above $32.00 on July 17, 2026?Yes
crowd 78% yes · 160 players
- Will the "A Call for Peace" summit in Luanda, Angola, on July 16–17, 2026, take place as scheduled?Yes
crowd 61% yes · 159 players
- Will a breakaway rider win Stage 14 (Mulhouse>Le Markstein Fellering)?No
crowd 58% yes · 149 players
- Will Sabah FC advance to the next round of the UEFA Champions League after their second leg against The New Saints FC on July 14, 2026?Yes
crowd 84% yes · 102 players
- Will Tadej Pogačar win Stage 14 (Mulhouse > Le Markstein) of the 2026 Tour de France?Yes
crowd 56% yes · 88 players
- Will the National Assembly adopt the child protection reform bill by July 2026?No
crowd 51% no · 67 players
- Will Harlem Eubank defeat David Papot in their boxing match on July 18, 2026?No
crowd 55% yes · 58 players
- Will Lucas Herbert be the 54-hole leader, alone or tied, on the official Round 3 leaderboard at the 2026 Open Championship in Royal Birkdale?No
crowd 58% yes · 29 players
- Will Christopher Nolan’s film “The Odyssey” open above $150 million worldwide on its opening weekend?Yes
crowd 66% yes · 13 players
- Will the Los Angeles Dodgers defeat the New York Yankees on July 17, 2026?Yes
crowd 57% no · 10 players