Will Tadej Pogačar win the Vuelta a España overall?

38%
-10% last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 18YES if The R&A's official 54-hole leaderboard for the 2026 Open Championship on The Open website, published immediately after completion of Round 3, lists Lucas Herbert in first place, either alone or tied. Otherwise NO. If The R&A does not publish official 54-hole standings for this event, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled58%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Two official pages on TheOpen.com dated 18 July 2026 report that Sam Burns held the 54-hole lead (10-under) after Round 3 and that Lucas Herbert was one stroke further back (seven-under). Those pages explicitly state Burns was leading heading into the final round, so Herbert was not listed first (neither sole nor tied).
Source: theopen.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledfranchement, je le vois pas du tout en tête après 54 trous. il va devoir bosser un peu plus pour ça 😂

38%
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81%
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66%
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82%
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84%
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76%
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