Will Apple’s CEO transition to John Ternus occur on schedule (September 1, 2026)?

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Resolved: No
Results Jul 17Resolves YES if the Seine-et-Marne prefecture, SDIS 77 or the fire service officially declares both fires fully extinguished (not merely contained/under control) before 17 July 2026 23:59. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled22%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
C'est de la tourbe donc très difficile à anticiper. Ca brûle par dessous la terre
franchement, je parie que ces feux seront encore là en 2026... les pompiers peuvent parler de « fixés », mais éteints ? on n'y est pas encore. 🌲🔥

63%
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54%
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55%
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28%
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94%
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