🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?

32%
Stable · last 24h
272 bets · 11.2K credits5
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66%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 15YES means the U.S. House of Representatives passes a finalized FY 2027 appropriations bill that allocates NIH funding higher than the President’s proposed $18.8B (i.e., above the cut level). NO means either the House fails to pass such a bill or passes one at or below $18.8B as proposed.
How markets are built and settled66%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 66% sure, and they got it wrong.
Sources used to resolve this market
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