🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 28 · Results Oct 30
Will Russian and Ukrainian forces start a temporary ceasefire in Oleshky that allows aid deliveries or organized evacuations?
73%
+1% last 24h
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PoliticsOpened Sep 11 · Results Sep 29
Will the special commission adopt and transmit a consolidated 69‑article commission text of the bill on sexist and sexual violence?
85%
Stable · last 24h
📊 198 bettors💎 5.7K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 29🤖 Context
YES if no later than September 29, 2026 the special commission formally voted to adopt and transmitted to the Bureau (or otherwise formally transmitted to the plenary) a consolidated "texte de commission" produced from its work on the 69‑article proposed law against sexist and sexual violence, as reported by two or more independent authoritative news outlets. Confirmation can preferably come from the commission minutes and vote record published by the Assemblée nationale or from the transmitted text published by the Assemblée nationale. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Yes, the special committee of the French National Assembly has already approved the consolidated text of the comprehensive bill against sexist and sexual violence. The final opinion was validated after a week of intense debates in which the 69 articles of bill no. 3106 were examined. Following this parliamentary approval in committee, the unified text has been formally sent for its next legislative step: its debate and general vote in the plenary of the National Assembly.
Source: lcp.frKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 85%
- Predictions made
- 198
- Credits staked
- 5,731
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Sep 11, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 28, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 30, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- lcp.fr
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current timeline and pressure, the commission will likely adopt the consolidated text by the deadline. Expect strong media coverage on this one.
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