Will any city or department in metropolitan France be put under a legally binding curfew?

94%
Stable · last 24h

43%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if two or more independent news organisations report that, during official voting hours on November 3, 2026, at any official polling site in the City and County of Denver, at least one person was present inside, stationed at, or performing duties who is explicitly identified by those outlets as an on‑duty U.S. federal immigration‑enforcement employee (for example ICE, DHS immigration enforcement, or another named federal immigration agency). Reporting must explicitly identify the person’s agency or role as federal immigration enforcement. If outlets only describe federal officers providing general security (not performing immigration‑enforcement duties), the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 4, 2026. The outcome will be settled against san.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 485 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledThere is a really good chance that they will be present
Given the current political climate, the likelihood of immigration enforcement showing up at polling sites is moderate. Expect heightened scrutiny, but it might not result in actual presence on voting day.

94%
Stable · last 24h

74%
Stable · last 24h

96%
Stable · last 24h

35%
Stable · last 24h

32%
-4% last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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