Will Xi Jinping and Donald Trump meet face-to-face?

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YES if, no later than October 1, 2026, the U.S. federal court docket for the case or reporting by at least two independent major news outlets states that Alex Saab entered a guilty plea to any count in the federal money‑laundering indictment described in the AP article. A guilty plea in a different case, a disposition that is not a guilty plea (for example a deferred‑prosecution agreement), or sealed proceedings not reported as a guilty plea do not count. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 18, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against apnews.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 59%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and Saab's ongoing legal battles, I'm betting against a guilty plea. The odds seem stacked against it materializing by the deadline.

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72%
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52%
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