Will EU leaders publicly announce they agreed to adopt the planned 22nd sanctions package against Russia?

32%
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71%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 13YES if, in the plenary session of the Assemblée nationale that follows the commission examination referenced in the LCP article of 16 September 2026, the Assembly puts to a plenary vote the text titled (or clearly identified as) the "proposition de loi intégrale contre les violences sexuelles et sexistes" and a majority of deputies voting approve it. Otherwise NO. The market will be resolved using the Assemblée nationale's published vote records and the adopted-text record / Journal officiel, or by matching reports from two or more independent national news outlets (for example AFP, Le Monde, Reuters, Franceinfo, Le Figaro).
How markets are built and settled71%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 71% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The bill was adopted this Tuesday, October 13, by the National Assembly with unanimous support from the voters.
Source: lemonde.frSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledThis law has considerable support, and with pressure from various advocacy groups, I expect it to pass in the upcoming vote. The momentum is on its side.

32%
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94%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
Stable · last 24h

33%
Stable · last 24h

49%
+10% last 24h
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