🌦️Science·WeatherCloses Sep 3
Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
+42% last 24h
2002 bets · 60K credits6
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44%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 16YES if MOSAIC executes its first in‑situ test of material transformations under irradiation (as part of project SIXPAC) before December 31 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Jan 15, 2027, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 16, 2027. The outcome will be settled against ijclab.in2p3.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 44%, based on 5 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
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77%
+42% last 24h

54%
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72%
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56%
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22%
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69%
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