Will Kupreanof be raised to 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?

🤖 Context

YES if the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) Volcano Hazards Program publishes Kupreanof's official Volcano Alert Level as 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or a higher USGS Volcano Alert Level at any time strictly after 00:00 on September 3, 2026 and no later than 00:00 on September 6, 2026. The authoritative source is the USGS Volcano Hazards Program. Otherwise NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026. The outcome will be settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov. For now, the crowd puts YES at 33%, based on 27 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

33%

Predictions made

27

Credits staked

487

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 2, 2026

Closes

Sep 3, 2026

Expected resolution

Sep 6, 2026

Resolution source

volcanoes.usgs.gov

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Sep 3, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Sep 6, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 33% and NO 67%, based on 27 predictions and 487 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against volcanoes.usgs.gov once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Kupreanof be raised to 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Kupreanof be raised to 'WATCH' (heightened alert) or higher?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.