Will the Falcon 9 launching from Vandenberg put its primary payloads into Earth orbit on November 10?

🤖 Context

YES if the launch attempt that begins at 03:03 UTC on November 10, 2026 results in the Falcon 9 placing the mission's primary payload(s) into confirmed Earth orbit, otherwise NO. • The launch attempt must begin at 03:03 UTC on November 10, 2026. If liftoff is postponed, rescheduled to a different UTC date, cancelled, or no liftoff occurs at that scheduled UTC start, the market resolves NO. • A suborbital flight or a failure to achieve orbital insertion counts as NO. • Source: SpaceX, U.S. Space Force, CelesTrak.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 10, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 80%, based on 185 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

80%

Predictions made

185

Credits staked

6,200

Comments

5

Opened

Nov 8, 2026

Closes

Nov 10, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 10, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 10, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 10, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 80% and NO 20%, based on 185 predictions and 6.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 launching from Vandenberg put its primary payloads into Earth orbit on November 10?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 launching from Vandenberg put its primary payloads into Earth orbit on November 10?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.