Will the Cygnus NG-25 launch on Nov 29 put the spacecraft into an orbit suitable for rendezvous with the ISS?

🤖 Context

YES if the launch attempt that begins at the scheduled UTC start time on 29 November 2026 at 15:49 UTC results in the Cygnus spacecraft separating and being placed on a trajectory or orbit consistent with a planned rendezvous with the International Space Station, otherwise NO. • If the launch is postponed, rescheduled to a different UTC date, cancelled, or no liftoff occurs at the scheduled UTC start, the market resolves NO. • Successful berthing or arrival at the ISS is not required for a YES; immediate post-launch orbital insertion for rendezvous is sufficient. • Source: Northrop Grumman, NASA, or orbital tracking catalogs such as CelesTrak.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 29, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 29, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 410 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

60%

Predictions made

410

Credits staked

13,901

Comments

3

Opened

Nov 8, 2026

Closes

Nov 29, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 29, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 29, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 29, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 60% and NO 40%, based on 410 predictions and 13.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Cygnus NG-25 launch on Nov 29 put the spacecraft into an orbit suitable for rendezvous with the ISS?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Cygnus NG-25 launch on Nov 29 put the spacecraft into an orbit suitable for rendezvous with the ISS?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.