Will the Falcon 9 carrying Bandwagon‑5 lift off from SLC‑40 on October 19?

🤖 Context

YES if the Falcon 9 vehicle assigned to Bandwagon‑5 lifts off (engines ignite and the vehicle clears the pad) from SLC‑40, Cape Canaveral Space Force Station on October 19, 2026 during the scheduled attempt that begins at 6:30 a.m. EDT, otherwise NO. • Engine ignition that does not result in the vehicle clearing the pad does not count as a lift‑off. • If the launch is postponed or rescheduled the market will resolve based on the mission's official later launch. If the mission is officially cancelled with no new date announced the market resolves NO. • Source: SpaceX official mission status or Spaceflight Now.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 61%, based on 323 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

61%

Predictions made

323

Credits staked

14,705

Comments

7

Opened

Oct 15, 2026

Closes

Oct 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 19, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 61% and NO 39%, based on 323 predictions and 14.7K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 carrying Bandwagon‑5 lift off from SLC‑40 on October 19?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 carrying Bandwagon‑5 lift off from SLC‑40 on October 19?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.