Will the Falcon 9 booster that launches Bandwagon-5 land on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas?

🤖 Context

YES if the first-stage booster with tail number B1085 that launches on the Bandwagon-5 Falcon 9 is explicitly reported to have landed on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas after the launch attempt that begins at 6:30 AM EDT on 19 October 2026, otherwise NO. • Only a report that explicitly names booster B1085 and states it landed on A Shortfall of Gravitas counts. • If the launch attempt is postponed or rescheduled, the market resolves based on the official result of the eventual attempt. If the mission is cancelled with no new date announced before final settlement, the market resolves NO. • Source: SpaceX, Spaceflight Now, Reuters, or Associated Press.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 60%, based on 358 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

60%

Predictions made

358

Credits staked

16,182

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 14, 2026

Closes

Oct 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 19, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 60% and NO 40%, based on 358 predictions and 16.2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the Falcon 9 booster that launches Bandwagon-5 land on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the Falcon 9 booster that launches Bandwagon-5 land on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.