Will the H3 rocket launch the MMX mission from Tanegashima on October 20?

🤖 Context

YES if the H3 launch vehicle carrying the MMX spacecraft departs the pad (achieves liftoff) from the Yoshinobu Launch Complex, Tanegashima at any time on October 20, 2026 JST (UTC+09:00), including at or very near the planned 04:41:03 JST, as reported by JAXA or corroborated by at least two independent major outlets. An engine ignition with no pad departure (a pad abort) is NO.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026. The outcome will be settled against spaceflightnow.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 81%, based on 30 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

81%

Predictions made

30

Credits staked

716

Comments

1

Opened

Sep 7, 2026

Closes

Oct 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Oct 19, 2026

Resolution source

spaceflightnow.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Oct 19, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 81% and NO 19%, based on 30 predictions and 716 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against spaceflightnow.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the H3 rocket launch the MMX mission from Tanegashima on October 20?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the H3 rocket launch the MMX mission from Tanegashima on October 20?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.