Will tropical cyclone Karina reach Saffir‑Simpson Category 4 intensity?

77%
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29%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Jan 1YES if the CNRS–Imperial International Research Laboratory ‘Antoine Lavoisier’ issues at least one peer‑reviewed scientific publication before or on December 31, 2026; NO otherwise.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Dec 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Jan 1, 2027. The outcome will be settled against imperial.ac.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 29%, based on 9 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledNo comments yet. Start the conversation!

77%
+42% last 24h

54%
Stable · last 24h

72%
Stable · last 24h

57%
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22%
Stable · last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
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