🌍Politics·GeopoliticsCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will a humanitarian ceasefire between Ukrainian and Russian forces begin on October 27?
72%
+3% last 24h
535 bets · 22K credits11
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PoliticsOpened Aug 11 · Results Aug 25
Will Spain open a criminal investigation into José María Figaredo for urging people to 'cazar' migrants?
21%
Stable · last 24h
📊 454 bettors💎 8.7K at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Aug 25🤖 Context
YES if, no later than 18:00 on August 25, 2026, the Spanish Public Prosecutor's Office (Fiscalía General del Estado) publicly announces it has opened formal investigative proceedings specifically into José María Figaredo's statements calling to 'cazar' migrants. Acceptable evidence includes an official Fiscalía press release or website entry, or reporting by major Spanish news outlets that quote the Fiscalía. If the Fiscalía only says it has received complaints or refers the matter to the police without opening a Fiscalía investigative file, that is NO.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No21%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
Key facts
- Crowd probability
- 21%
- Predictions made
- 454
- Credits staked
- 8,680
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 11, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 18, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 28, 2026
- Outcome
- No
💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 53 💎
Given the time left and the sensitivity of the issue, the Fiscalía will likely open an investigation. Expect a formal announcement before the deadline.
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