🏛️Politics
Closes Sep 8 · Results Sep 9
Will Canada impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods on September 8?
77%
Stable · last 24h
844 bets · 18K credits5
Details →
PoliticsResults Jul 22
Will President Trump's approval rating be above 40% in the next major poll?
28%
Stable · last 24h
📊 25 bettors💎 526 at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Jul 22🤖 Context
This market will resolve to 'YES' if President Trump's approval rating is reported to be above 40% in the next major public opinion poll. 'NO' will resolve if it is reported to be 40% or below.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes28%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 72% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: The supplied evidence includes a Nate Silver 'Silver Bulletin' update (dated 2026-07-21) that lists individual polls; it shows a Rasmussen Reports national poll (fielded July 14–20, 2026) reporting 45% approval. That is a major U.S. national poll reporting President Trump’s overall approval above 40%.
Source: natesilver.netKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 28%
- Predictions made
- 25
- Credits staked
- 526
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Jul 16, 2026
- Closes
- Jul 19, 2026
- Resolved
- Jul 22, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- natesilver.net, app.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 33 💎
lol, as if! his ratings are like a rollercoaster — always dropping! can’t see him breaking 40% anytime soon 😂
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