Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 1This market will resolve to 'YES' if OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is publicly available by July 31, 2026, and to 'NO' if it is not.
How markets are built and settled60%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied, dated sources corroborate that OpenAI publicly launched and made the GPT-5.6 family available in July 2026. OpenAI’s official GPT‑5.6 announcement page is dated 2026-07-09 and states the GPT‑5.6 family is being launched for general availability; GitHub’s changelog (2026-07-09) shows GPT‑5.6 models are available in GitHub Copilot; independent news outlets (CNBC, NextGov, InfoWorld) and OpenAI’s July 30 blog post about GPT‑5.6 pricing confirm continued public availability through July 30. These independent, dated reports establish that by 2026-07-31 OpenAI had publicly released and made available a model named “GPT-5.6.”
Source: openai.comSources used to resolve this market
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