Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

93%
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43%
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YES if Apple’s official US Online Store allows customers in the United States to place paid pre-orders for any model Apple markets as "iPhone 18 Pro" at any time on September 11, 2026 (between 12:00 AM and 11:59:59 PM US Pacific Time). Otherwise NO. Carrier or third-party retailer pre-orders count only if Apple’s own US Online Store also accepts paid pre-orders that day. Opening pre-orders for a subset of configurations counts as YES.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 11, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 11, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 43%, based on 4 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple’s track record, I’d bet on pre-orders opening on September 11. They’ve consistently done this, and no signs suggest they’ll change now. Expect it to happen.

93%
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41%
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43%
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52%
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34%
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18%
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