Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?

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YES if Google's official US MSRP for the Pixel 11 entry-level configuration (the lowest-priced unlocked Pixel 11 SKU Google offers at launch) is $899.00 USD or less as published on the Google Store or in Google's official event press materials during the Made by Google 2026 event. Cutoff: no later than 6:00 PM ET on August 12, 2026. Mainstream press reporting may be used as corroboration, and if Google lists multiple carrier promotions the unlocked Google Store "starting price" is the deciding figure.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 50%, based on 0 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGoogle's pricing strategy usually aims to stay competitive; with a launch date just ahead, I’d expect the Pixel 11 to start at $899 or less to attract buyers.

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