Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26?

67%
+10% last 24h

42%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 13YES if Google's official US MSRP for the Pixel 11 entry-level configuration (the lowest-priced unlocked Pixel 11 SKU Google offers at launch) is $899.00 USD or less as published on the Google Store or in Google's official event press materials during the Made by Google 2026 event. Cutoff: no later than 6:00 PM ET on August 12, 2026. Mainstream press reporting may be used as corroboration, and if Google lists multiple carrier promotions the unlocked Google Store "starting price" is the deciding figure.
How markets are built and settled42%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 58% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent, reputable outlets reporting on Google’s Aug 12, 2026 Made by Google announcements explicitly state the Pixel 11’s US starting MSRP was $899 (e.g., TechCrunch, Wired, 9to5Google, TechAdvisor, Droid-Life). That figure corresponds to the entry-level unlocked Pixel 11 SKU at launch and meets the “$899.00 USD or less” threshold. While a few wire reports rounded to $900, three or more independent outlets corroborate $899, so the market settles YES.
Source: wired.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGoogle's pricing strategy usually aims to stay competitive; with a launch date just ahead, I’d expect the Pixel 11 to start at $899 or less to attract buyers.

67%
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82%
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73%
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76%
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39%
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