🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will Apple (AAPL) have a larger market cap than NVIDIA (NVDA) on October 30?
27%
-2% last 24h
444 bets · 18.3K credits5
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TechOpened Aug 9 · Results Sep 10
Will Apple unveil at least one iPhone 18 model on September 9?
59%
Stable · last 24h
📊 529 bettors💎 14.8K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 10🤖 Context
The market required an official Apple announcement on September 9, 2026 (US Pacific Time) via an Apple Events livestream, an Apple Newsroom press release, or an Apple.com product page update that explicitly names an iPhone as part of the "iPhone 18" family. Apple's Newsroom press release dated September 9, 2026 explicitly announces the iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max, and same-day reports from Reuters, USA TODAY, and Apple’s event pages corroborate the unveiling. Because Apple published an official announcement on that Pacific Time date naming new "iPhone 18" models, the condition is met and the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence contains multiple independent, credible reports dated September 9, 2026 that Apple publicly announced new iPhone 18 family models. Apple’s own Newsroom press release is explicit: “Apple debuts iPhone 18 Pro and iPhone 18 Pro Max” (dated Sept. 9, 2026). Independent outlets in the evidence (Reuters and USA TODAY) likewise report that Apple unveiled the iPhone 18 Pro/Pro Max at its Sept. 9 event. Additional corroboration appears in other tech coverage and Apple’s official event video pages in the evidence. These independent, same-day sources unambiguously establish the announcement occurred on 2026-09-09 (US Pacific Time).
Source: apple.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 59%
- Predictions made
- 529
- Credits staked
- 14,824
- Comments
- 3
- Opened
- Aug 9, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 10, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- apple.com, reuters.com, usatoday.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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