🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Sep 11 · Results Sep 13
Will ChatGPT be the #1 free app in the US App Store on September 11?
82%
+5% last 24h
4598 bets · 134.1K credits7
Details →
TechOpened Jul 26 · Results Aug 13
Will Google announce a new Pixel smartphone at its August 12, 2026 event?
93%
Stable · last 24h
📊 9427 bettors💎 255.4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 13🤖 Context
YES if Google publishes on or before 6:00 PM PDT on August 12, 2026 a product page on the Google Store or an official post on the Google Blog that names one or more Pixel‑branded smartphone models as announced at the August 12, 2026 event. If the posted page(s) only repeat Pixel models whose product pages or official blog posts existed before August 12, 2026, resolve NO. Use the publication timestamps and page content on store.google.com or blog.google as authoritative.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes93%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 93% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The official Google product blog page in the evidence is dated Aug 12, 2026 and explicitly states (quote) “Today we unveiled Pixel 11, Pixel 11 Pro, and Pixel 11 Pro XL,” which is a public announcement by Google naming Pixel smartphone models tied to the Aug 12 event. Independent news outlets in the pool (The Verge, TechCrunch, AP/WSLS, CNN, Engadget, etc.) corroborate that Google unveiled the Pixel 11 series on August 12. The supplied material contains no earlier Google-published announcement naming those Pixel 11 models before Aug 12, 2026, so the named model(s) were not previously announced by Google in the provided evidence. Therefore the condition in the question is satisfied on 2026-08-12.
Source: blog.googleKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 93%
- Predictions made
- 9,427
- Credits staked
- 255,395
- Comments
- 37
- Opened
- Jul 26, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 12, 2026
- Resolved
- Aug 13, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- blog.google, theverge.com, techcrunch.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 37 comments
- 🪙@royalblu🥈Bet Yes· 100 💎
Yes
- 🦊@naar.star🥉Bet Yes· 10 💎
They work very well!!!
- 🐷@aksel🥉Bet Yes· 1 💎
I don't really know if they will do it to me, but I think
- 🔥@sole.boss🥉Bet Yes· 10 💎
Yessssss
- 🌹@eric.boss🥇Bet Yes· 35 💎
Yes
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