Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

31%
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89%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 25YES if, on or after 23 October 2026 at 21:04 (Paris time) and no later than October 24, 2026, there is credible evidence that Olivier Faure was physically present at the counter-demonstration in Orléans on 24 October 2026. Otherwise NO. • Credible evidence includes photos or video published by major news agencies, a contemporaneous Franceinfo or AFP report naming him as present, or an explicit statement or photo from Olivier Faure's office. • If the demonstration is cancelled and no counter-demonstration takes place in Orléans on 24 October 2026, the market resolves NO. • Source: Franceinfo, AFP, Olivier Faure's office.
How markets are built and settled89%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The Agence France-Presse (AFP) covered the counter-demonstration against the National Rally congress on Saturday, October 24, 2026, in Orléans and confirmed the physical presence of Olivier Faure.
Source: information.tv5monde.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledOlivier Faure has a strong chance of being there. Everything seems to confirm it.
It's good, he's there, seen on TF1 this noon
🤷♂️
Given the time left before the event, it’s likely Olivier Faure will attend. If he’s publicly confirmed shortly before, expect credible evidence to surface.

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94%
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40%
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64%
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94%
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