🌋Science·GeologyCloses Oct 25 · Results Oct 28
Will Indonesia record an earthquake of magnitude 5.4 or greater?

34%
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287 bets · 11.9K credits6
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46%
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Resolved: Yes
Results May 27YES if during NASA’s May 26 press conference announcing its Artemis moon‑base plans, the agency states a specific calendar year (e.g. “2032”) as the target to begin construction of the lunar base; NO if no specific year is mentioned.
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
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