Will SpaceX's Falcon 9 carrying USSF-317 lift off from the listed pad?

32%
-1% last 24h

87%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, by 8:00 AM on 15 November 2026 (CET), at least one official forecast or bulletin from a national meteorological agency or at least two independent major French national news outlets explicitly state that a high‑pressure (anticyclonic) situation affected most of metropolitan France on 14 November 2026. Otherwise NO. • Statements must describe high pressure covering most of metropolitan France, not just a small area. • Only published forecasts or news stories count. Social‑media‑only posts or anonymous sources do not count. • Source: Météo‑France, TF1, Franceinfo, Le Monde, Le Figaro.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 15, 2026. The outcome will be settled against tf1info.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 87%, based on 426 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settled
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61%
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64%
Stable · last 24h

80%
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44%
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84%
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