Will the COP31 final decision text establish a new international 'loss and damage' finance mechanism or fund?

🤖 Context

YES if the official COP31 final decision text adopted at the Antalya conference and posted on the UNFCCC website contains explicit operative language establishing a new international "loss and damage" finance mechanism or fund no later than November 20, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Informal statements, speeches, and non-adopted draft text do not count. • Only language published on or after November 12, 2026 counts. • Source: UNFCCC.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Nov 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against wetter.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 337 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

65%

Predictions made

337

Credits staked

12,386

Comments

2

Opened

Nov 12, 2026

Closes

Nov 19, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 21, 2026

Resolution source

wetter.com

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Nov 19, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 21, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 65% and NO 35%, based on 337 predictions and 12.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against wetter.com once the outcome is known.

Is “Will the COP31 final decision text establish a new international 'loss and damage' finance mechanism or fund?” real-money betting?

No. “Will the COP31 final decision text establish a new international 'loss and damage' finance mechanism or fund?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.