Will Iran and Saudi Arabia announce Iran-mediated talks between Riyadh and the Houthis?

32%
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56%
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YES if Les Républicains files a formal criminal complaint with a French public prosecutor's office or lodges an equivalent written complaint registered at a French court specifically in connection with the hack of its website that displayed a call to demonstrate on October 17, no later than November 7, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The complaint must be an actual filing or registration. Announcing an intention to file does not count. • A Les Républicains press release or a statement/registry entry from the relevant public prosecutor is preferred. Credible reporting by two or more independent national news outlets is sufficient to resolve YES. • Source: Les Républicains or the relevant French public prosecutor or court registry.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 7, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against franceinfo.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 280 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledIt's very likely that they won't file a complaint despite the political consequences. The party won't go this far to protect its image.
That's how it is
They'll likely file a complaint. Given the recent hacking incident and the political fallout, it's reasonable to expect action by the party to safeguard its image.

32%
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94%
Stable · last 24h

70%
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40%
Stable · last 24h

64%
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51%
Stable · last 24h
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